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【本報訊】天文台科學主任唐恒偉指綜合世界各地氣候模式預測，秋季拉尼娜開始發展的機會超過一半。天文台亦修訂預測，指今年熱帶氣旋數目正常至偏多，數目由4至7個提升5至8個，而今年已有5個熱帶氣旋進入香港500公里範圍。此外，基於今年首8個月的雨量並非偏多，天文台預報模式下調今年餘下時間雨量至接近正常。
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